Endogenous collateral constraints and the leverage cycle. University of minnesota and federal reserve bank of minneapolis. In kiyotakimoore, tomorrows investment will raise the price of the store of value, which is used as an input in the production process. We are particularly interested in identifying empirical channels that creditmarket shocks propagate through firm. The kiyotakimoore model of credit cycles is an economic model developed by nobuhiro. Credit cycles nobuhiro kiyotaki and john moore jpe 1997 pisaniferry 2009 the research question question.
Credit cycles, journal of political economy, 1997, v1052,apr, 211248. For instance, kiyotaki and moore 1997 emphasize the amplication e. Money and banking johannes boehm boston university. Manuscripts of clarendon lectures 2001, with john moore. Bernanke andgertler 1989, kiyotaki and moore 1997 andothers focus on credit constraints faced by non. As in bernanke and gertler 1989, kiyotaki and moore 1997 and others, we endogenize nancial market frictions by introducing an agency problem between borrowers and lenders. This in turn constrains real investment, and so frictions in primary financial markets end up reducing real economic activity. See general information about how to correct material in repec for technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic. Kiyotakimoore 1997, and also as unsecured reputational loans suggested in bulowrogo. Evil is the root of all money american economic association. Lessons from the financial crisis and their implications.
I they have di erent discount rates, 1997 t university of minnesota and federal reserve bank of minneapolis tt london school of economics and heriotwatt university this is a major revision of our july 1995 mimeo, credit chains. Greenwald and stiglitz 2003, kiyotaki and moore 1997, bernanke and gertler 1989, and stiglitz and weiss 1992. Collateral amplification under complete markets european central. Overviewmodelcommentssummary important international rami cations currency devaluation august 2015 daily reference rate down 1. This 4we think we could prove versions of our results in monetary environments like bewley 1980 or. Selffulfilling credit cycles washington university. Landprice dynamics and macroeconomic fluctuations 3 formal empirical studies show that shocks to real estate prices have important e. Similarly, b t will be given by equation 5, so we solve it by hand as well.
Chapter 3 credit and business cycles matteo iacoviello. Liquidity, business cycles, and monetary policy kiyotaki. Kiyotaki a macroeconomist and moore a contract theorist originally described their model in a 1997 paper in the journal of political. To simplify matters, kiyotaki and moore also assume that. All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. Credit market heterogeneity, balance sheet in dependence. Diamond and dybvig 1983, bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity, journal of political economy 11. When credit is secured by collateral, a credit boom is associated with not only a higher leverage ratio but also a higher value of the collateralized assets. The seminal work of kiyotakimoore 1997 demonstrated how under certain conditions this feedback may amplify the response of the economy to changes in technology.
Nobuhiro kiyotaki national bureau of economic research. As in the collateral model of kiyotakimoore km 1997 we adopt the method widely used in macroeconomics of studying the e. Kiyotaki and moore 1997, kiyotaki and moore 2005, bernanke et al. The credit cycle featured the multiplieraccelerator feedback from good news about asset dividends, to higher asset prices, to more borrowing, to more investments improving asset values. Evil is the root of all money by nobuhiro kiyotaki and john moore. Liquidity, business cycles, and monetary policy nobuhiro kiyotaki and john moore first version, june 2001 this version, april 2008 abstract this paper presents a model of monetary economy with di. Procyclical movement in balance sheet strength ampli es spending uctuations and thus uctuations in aggregate economic activity. Inside money and liquidity, with john moore, lse revised in 2002. Lecture 2, liquidity, business cycles, and monetary policy.
Economywide factor productivity and the aggregate growth rate are both. Holmstrom and tirole 1997, and kiyotaki and moore 1997. Adrian and shin 2009 document the procyclicality of leverage using data on broker dealers. Here, unconventional monetary policy would raise the prices of mbs held as assets and lead to an improvement in the marktomarket value of bank equity. Also notice that c0 t and c t only appear in 1 and 2,sothey will adjust so that 1 and 2 hold. Our purpose is to study how aggregate production and asset prices. Kiyotaki and moore 1997 is the seminal paper in the latter approach, and we discuss it here. When borrowers are credit constrained, a negative shock can force them to sell assets, provoking a. Financial intermediation and credit policy in business. Brunnermeier michael sockin wei xiong feb, 2017 discussion by lin william cong. Credit risk and disaster risk preliminary and incomplete. The credit cycle featured the multiplieraccelerator feedback from good news about asset dividends, to higher asset prices, to more borrowing, to more investments im. Assuming that commercial banks target constant leverage ratios adrian.
The paper shares with kiyotaki and moore 1997 the idea that investment decisions are intertemporal complements. In particular, our model can i derive aggregate capital adjustment cost functions identical to those assumed by hayashi. Countries should move from bankfinance to capital markets. Intermediary leverage cycles and financial stability. Nobuhiro kiyotaki and john moore source university of york. Kiyotaki and moore 1997 showthatsmallshockscan be ampli. When requesting a correction, please mention this items handle. Capital misallocation and aggregate factor productivity. Financial intermediation and capital misallocation hengjie ai, kai li, and fang yang march 1, 2015 abstract to understand the link between. Shleifer and vishny 1992 show how asset liquidity, high debt capacity, and easy credit are mutually reinforcing. Kiyotaki moore 1997 show how small, temporary productivity shocks can generate large, persistent fluctuations in output and asset prices.
That said, there is a fundamental difference between models featuring collateral constraints and our framework with respect to the. Nevertheless, the credit cycle literature missed some important elements of the leverage cycle. The effects of quantitative easing on bank lending behavior. Nobuhiro kiyotaki university of minnesota and federal reserve bank of minneapolis john moore london school of economics and heriotwatt university we construct a model of a dynamic economy in which lenders cannot force borrowers to repay their debts unless the debts are secured. The kiyotaki and moore 1997 model is one of the leading macro models of. The type of borrowing constraints can have an important impact on macro nance mechanisms. Jrcppf escalating risks chinas model of managing the financial system markus k. The type of borrowing constraints can have an important impact on macro. More recently, however, the spotlight has fallen on the liquidation value of physical assets that rms can pledge as collateral hart and moore,1994.
Nobuhiro kiyotaki and john moore journal of political economy, 1997, vol. The real effects of financial markets wharton finance. House prices, borrowing constraints, and monetary policy in the business cycle pdf. Credit cycles, nber working papers 5083, national bureau of economic research, inc. Also, following wong 2015, we use a relatively if not completely general class of preferences. Secondary market liquidity and the optimal capital structure. Economic fluctuations and growth this paper is a theoretical study into how credit constraints interact with aggregate economic activity over the business cycle. Kiyotaki and moore 1997, credit cycles, journal of political economy 10.
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